Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Howden 68.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 76.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Howden
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
53.2% (299)
-4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
46.5% (86)
-9.0%
On power play, Carpenter has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Howden
Carpenter
Home
52.6% (173)
54.6% (207)
Away
41.5% (118)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Howden
Carpenter
P1
51.6%
52.3%
P2
37.1%
51.5%
P3
55.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%