Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.4%). Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 66.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 55.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Howden
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Howden
Carpenter
Last 9: Howden 8-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
1
Howden
Carpenter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
41.5% (41)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
43.9% (467)
-0.7%
On power play, Howden has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Howden
Carpenter
Home
48.4% (1,608)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Howden
Carpenter
P1
49.5%
49.6%
P2
48.0%
47.7%
P3
49.9%
48.0%
OT
39.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Brett Howden |