Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Hartman 48.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 50.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Howden
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Howden
Hartman
Last 6: Howden 3-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Howden
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
48.1% (520)
+5.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
44.7% (47)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
47.8% (23)
+0.3%
On even strength, Howden has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Howden
Hartman
Home
48.8% (258)
48.3% (360)
Away
56.6% (258)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Howden
Hartman
P1
54.0%
48.5%
P2
53.2%
45.2%
P3
50.9%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |