Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Hartman 45.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 54.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 62.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Howden
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Hartman
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
44.8% (830)
+5.6%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
47.8% (92)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
37.5% (16)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Howden
Hartman
Home
47.7% (195)
45.0% (515)
Away
52.8% (233)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Howden
Hartman
P1
51.1%
46.5%
P2
52.6%
39.9%
P3
48.8%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |