Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Johansen 52.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 59.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 66.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Howden
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Howden
Johansen
Last 7: Howden 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Johansen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
53.4% (845)
-6.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
58.8% (102)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
44.7% (85)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Howden
Johansen
Home
44.8% (268)
53.2% (479)
Away
51.8% (253)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Howden
Johansen
P1
51.6%
53.8%
P2
43.7%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |