Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 91.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 75.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Howden
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Howden
Johansen
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
7
2
Howden
Johansen
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Howden
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
53.1% (11,017)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
56.2% (2,163)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
50.5% (978)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Howden
Johansen
Home
48.4% (1,608)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Howden
Johansen
P1
49.5%
53.2%
P2
48.0%
53.9%
P3
49.9%
52.8%
OT
39.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |