Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Johansen 52.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 77.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Howden
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Howden
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Howden
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
51.9% (597)
-4.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
57.9% (133)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
54.3% (81)
-28.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Howden
Johansen
Home
44.3% (176)
55.8% (387)
Away
45.8% (190)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Howden
Johansen
P1
43.1%
50.0%
P2
43.1%
56.2%
P3
48.1%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Brett Howden |