Brett Howden vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 59.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
47.6% (231)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
83.3% (12)
-27.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (21)
+15.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.7% (195)
51.2% (164)
Away
52.8% (233)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.1%
50.0%
P2
52.6%
46.2%
P3
48.8%
49.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |