Brett Howden vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 61.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 51.9%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Howden 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
50.3% (479)
+3.1%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.0% (28)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
30.0% (50)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Howden is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (345).
Howden shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.8% (258)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.6% (258)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.0%
48.7%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
50.9%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |