Brett Howden vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Howden leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Howden 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
44.9% (8,756)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.7% (839)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
37.9% (879)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.4% (1,608)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Howden
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.5%
45.1%
P2
48.0%
43.9%
P3
49.9%
45.3%
OT
39.3%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |