Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Monahan 54.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 67.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Howden
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Howden
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
57.1% (871)
-9.8%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
53.1% (262)
-30.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
44.6% (139)
-18.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Howden is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Howden shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Howden
Monahan
Home
44.3% (176)
55.3% (644)
Away
45.8% (190)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Howden
Monahan
P1
43.1%
53.9%
P2
43.1%
55.3%
P3
48.1%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
45.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |