Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 56.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 80.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 69.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Howden
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Howden
Monahan
Last 10: Howden 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Howden
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Howden
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Howden
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
53.7% (2,580)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
46.0% (766)
-2.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Howden
Monahan
Home
48.4% (1,608)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Howden
Monahan
P1
49.5%
50.9%
P2
48.0%
51.7%
P3
49.9%
51.0%
OT
39.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |