Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Howden 52.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 56.5%
Neutral zone
Howden 55.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Howden
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Howden
Seguin
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
1
Howden
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Howden
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Howden
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
55.9% (810)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
49.3% (762)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Howden
Seguin
Home
48.4% (1,608)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Howden
Seguin
P1
49.5%
52.8%
P2
48.0%
53.3%
P3
49.9%
54.7%
OT
39.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |