Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Seguin 54.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 61.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 63.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 66.2%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Howden
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Howden
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Howden
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Howden
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
55.0% (713)
-1.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.7% (104)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
47.2% (53)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Howden is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Howden shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Howden
Seguin
Home
55.2% (96)
56.2% (443)
Away
48.9% (131)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Howden
Seguin
P1
42.0%
54.2%
P2
55.8%
52.9%
P3
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |