Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.5% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Howden 50.9%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 53.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Howden
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (358)
53.2% (201)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
60.0% (25)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
44.4% (9)
+1.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Howden is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Howden shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Howden
Seguin
Home
47.7% (174)
56.3% (126)
Away
53.0% (219)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Howden
Seguin
P1
53.3%
44.3%
P2
51.1%
52.1%
P3
49.2%
62.5%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
34.0%▼
48.0%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%