Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 81.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Howden
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Howden
Seguin
Last 6: Howden 5-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
5
0
Howden
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Howden
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
53.9% (996)
-5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
56.4% (94)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
52.1% (165)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Howden
Seguin
Home
52.0% (304)
55.9% (633)
Away
45.9% (425)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Howden
Seguin
P1
48.7%
55.8%
P2
48.1%
51.7%
P3
49.0%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |