Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Howden wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 84.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 76.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 74.9%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Howden
Trocheck
Last 7: Howden 5-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
57.7% (608)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
64.0% (150)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.1% (136)
+4.2%
On power play, Trocheck has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
47.7% (195)
54.4% (366)
Away
52.0% (229)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
50.7%
56.0%
P2
52.0%
58.6%
P3
48.4%
55.3%
OT
33.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Brett Howden |