Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 84.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 79.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 77.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Howden
Trocheck
Last 7: Howden 5-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
2
Howden
Trocheck
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
57.8% (626)
-7.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
63.6% (151)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.0% (141)
+4.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
47.7% (195)
54.4% (390)
Away
52.8% (233)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
51.1%
56.4%
P2
52.6%
58.7%
P3
48.8%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Brett Howden |