Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 88.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 76.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 77.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Howden
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Howden
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
59.6% (1,032)
-6.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
62.1% (253)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
55.4% (249)
-7.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Howden
Trocheck
Home
48.8% (258)
61.7% (786)
Away
56.6% (258)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Howden
Trocheck
P1
54.0%
61.7%
P2
53.2%
58.8%
P3
50.9%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |