Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 52.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Howden
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Howden
Gourde
Last 10: Howden 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Howden
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.4% (4,954)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
57.4% (376)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
39.9% (554)
+3.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,152).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
48.4% (1,608)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
49.9%
47.5%
OT
39.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |