Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 51.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Howden
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Howden
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.1% (847)
+4.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
79.5% (44)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
39.5% (81)
-19.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
55.2% (96)
50.1% (491)
Away
48.9% (131)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
42.0%
54.7%
P2
55.8%
45.0%
P3
55.6%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
51.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Brett Howden |