Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
Howden 64.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 54.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Howden
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
47.2% (654)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
45.0% (20)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
32.2% (87)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
47.7% (195)
44.1% (322)
Away
52.8% (233)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
51.1%
42.4%
P2
52.6%
49.8%
P3
48.8%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%