Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Gourde 52.6% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 69.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 58.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Howden
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Howden
Gourde
Last 5: Howden 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Howden
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
50.0% (132)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
63.6% (22)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
72.2% (18)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Gourde is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Howden
Gourde
Home
44.8% (268)
64.6% (79)
Away
51.8% (253)
45.2% (93)
By Period
Howden
Gourde
P1
51.6%
57.7%
P2
43.7%
47.7%
P3
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Brett Howden |