Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Nelson 49.4% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 76.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Boyle
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
49.9% (840)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.8% (89)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
28.6% (35)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Boyle
Nelson
Home
44.2% (199)
49.8% (458)
Away
46.4% (166)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Boyle
Nelson
P1
48.6%
50.1%
P2
40.4%
45.4%
P3
46.4%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%