Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 52.5% vs MacKenzie 51.3% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 70.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 70.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Boyle
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Boyle
MacKenzie
Last 7: Boyle 5-2 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
MacKenzie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
MacKenzie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (354)
54.9% (377)
-0.7%
Power Play
76.5% (17)
63.6% (11)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (207)
38.5% (109)
+10.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Boyle is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Boyle shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Boyle
MacKenzie
Home
54.8% (272)
51.9% (237)
Away
51.3% (306)
51.2% (260)
By Period
Boyle
MacKenzie
P1
54.4%
49.7%
P2
49.7%
50.6%
P3
54.3%
53.5%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |