Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Spezza 52.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 79.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Boyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Boyle
Spezza
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
6
Boyle
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
0
Boyle
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
53.7% (451)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.3% (92)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
38.2% (34)
-3.0%
On even strength, Spezza has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Boyle
Spezza
Home
44.2% (199)
55.0% (282)
Away
46.4% (166)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Boyle
Spezza
P1
48.6%
53.1%
P2
40.4%
53.2%
P3
46.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |