Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Spezza 54.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 45-38 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 52.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 83.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 62.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Boyle
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
45
(83 meetings)
38
45
Boyle
Spezza
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
29
Boyle
Spezza
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
19
1
Boyle
Spezza
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
10
15
Boyle
Spezza
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
54.4% (7,990)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
56.8% (1,726)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
52.7% (643)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Boyle
Spezza
Home
52.2% (3,521)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Boyle
Spezza
P1
51.3%
55.7%
P2
51.1%
54.4%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
55.3%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |