Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Thompson 54.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 74.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Boyle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boyle
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
55.5% (236)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
56.5% (46)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Boyle
Thompson
Home
44.2% (199)
53.1% (128)
Away
46.4% (166)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Boyle
Thompson
P1
48.6%
59.0%
P2
40.4%
55.4%
P3
46.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |