Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Thompson 52.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 59.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 55.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 56.1%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Boyle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Boyle
Thompson
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
8
Boyle
Thompson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
8
5
Boyle
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
8
Boyle
Thompson
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
54.1% (5,812)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
54.8% (135)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Boyle
Thompson
Home
52.2% (3,521)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Boyle
Thompson
P1
51.3%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
52.9%
P3
50.4%
52.8%
OT
55.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |