Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 72.6%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.5%
Neutral zone
Boyle 71.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Boyle
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyle
Sturm
Last 5: Boyle 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Boyle
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Boyle
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
54.0% (480)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
50.0% (102)
-14.8%
On power play, Boyle has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Boyle
Sturm
Home
44.2% (199)
54.0% (287)
Away
46.4% (166)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Boyle
Sturm
P1
48.6%
53.5%
P2
40.4%
51.0%
P3
46.4%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |