Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Sturm 56.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 74.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 75.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 74.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Boyle
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyle
Sturm
Last 5: Boyle 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Boyle
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Boyle
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
57.1% (2,719)
-5.4%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
61.3% (62)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
51.0% (498)
-4.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Boyle
Sturm
Home
52.2% (3,521)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Boyle
Sturm
P1
51.3%
56.5%
P2
51.1%
54.9%
P3
50.4%
57.4%
OT
55.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |