Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.8% vs Carpenter 52.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 63.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 57.0%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 70.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Boyle
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Carpenter
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Boyle
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (157)
53.6% (267)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.0% (142)
28.6% (7)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
32.4% (34)
50.0% (32)
-17.6%
On power play, Boyle has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Boyle is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Boyle shoots left. Carpenter is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carpenter
Home
56.1% (148)
47.6% (145)
Away
47.0% (185)
57.1% (161)
By Period
Boyle
Carpenter
P1
49.5%
51.7%
P2
56.6%
47.6%
P3
47.1%
57.4%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |