Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 58.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 72.4%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 70.1%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Boyle
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boyle
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
53.2% (299)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
46.5% (86)
-11.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carpenter
Home
44.2% (199)
54.6% (207)
Away
46.4% (166)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Boyle
Carpenter
P1
48.6%
52.3%
P2
40.4%
51.5%
P3
46.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |