Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 71.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 67.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 54.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Boyle
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Boyle
Carpenter
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
2
Boyle
Carpenter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
2
Boyle
Carpenter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
49.6% (2,027)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
41.5% (41)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
43.9% (467)
+2.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carpenter
Home
52.2% (3,521)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Boyle
Carpenter
P1
51.3%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
50.4%
48.0%
OT
55.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 02:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 2 | 00:49 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 21, 2020 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |