Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Carrick 46.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 61.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 77.8%
Neutral zone
Boyle 62.6%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Boyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyle
Carrick
Last 5: Boyle 3-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Boyle
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
41.6% (89)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
50.0% (2)
-5.6%
On even strength, Boyle has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Boyle is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Boyle shoots left. Carrick is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carrick
Home
51.8% (427)
39.6% (53)
Away
50.0% (478)
44.7% (38)
By Period
Boyle
Carrick
P1
50.7%
41.7%
P2
52.7%
38.7%
P3
49.5%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |