Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Carrick 49.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 65.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 69.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 68.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Boyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Boyle
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Boyle
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
48.9% (352)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
42.2% (45)
-7.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carrick
Home
44.2% (199)
46.9% (192)
Away
46.4% (166)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Boyle
Carrick
P1
48.6%
48.1%
P2
40.4%
50.0%
P3
46.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |