Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Carrick 52.1% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 64.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 55.2%
Neutral zone
Boyle 53.3%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Boyle
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Boyle
Carrick
Last 7: Boyle 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Boyle
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
52.1% (2,513)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
61.3% (75)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
50.7% (430)
-4.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carrick
Home
52.2% (3,521)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Boyle
Carrick
P1
51.3%
51.8%
P2
51.1%
52.2%
P3
50.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |