Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 51.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 55.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Boyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boyle
Steel
Last 5: Boyle 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Boyle
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Boyle
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
49.7% (638)
+3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
60.3% (63)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
42.4% (33)
+4.3%
On power play, Steel has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Boyle
Steel
Home
48.5% (194)
47.3% (349)
Away
56.6% (182)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Boyle
Steel
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
55.9%
49.8%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |