Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs Steel 49.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 79.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 50.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 71.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Boyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyle
Steel
Last 6: Boyle 4-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Boyle
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
49.3% (383)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
14.3% (7)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Boyle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Boyle shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Boyle
Steel
Home
44.2% (199)
49.4% (180)
Away
46.4% (166)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Boyle
Steel
P1
48.6%
51.9%
P2
40.4%
43.8%
P3
46.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |