Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 64.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 71.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Boyle
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Boyle
Steel
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Boyle
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Boyle
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.1%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
62.6% (179)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
37.4% (254)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Boyle
Steel
Home
52.2% (3,521)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Boyle
Steel
P1
51.3%
51.9%
P2
51.1%
49.5%
P3
50.4%
49.6%
OT
55.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |