Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boeser wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 47.5% vs Tavares 54.7% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 58.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Boeser
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boeser
Tavares
Last 5: Boeser 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boeser
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (22)
54.5% (692)
-18.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boeser is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Boeser shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Boeser
Tavares
Home
30.8% (13)
57.9% (404)
Away
44.4% (9)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Boeser
Tavares
P1
27.3%
54.2%
P2
60.0%
55.1%
P3
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
36.4%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Brock Boeser |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |