Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 45.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Boeser
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (105)
58.0% (914)
-18.0%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
57.0% (235)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
57.9% (19)
+42.1%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boeser is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Boeser shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Boeser
Tavares
Home
40.0% (60)
57.8% (614)
Away
44.8% (58)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Boeser
Tavares
P1
40.5%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
56.9%
P3
32.3%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
34.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
42.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |