Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Boeser wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 47.2% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
Boeser 59.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Boeser
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boeser
1
0
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Boeser
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (99)
46.5% (484)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
47.5% (99)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.7% (15)
+53.3%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Boeser is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Boeser shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Boeser
Schmaltz
Home
42.9% (56)
45.3% (298)
Away
46.4% (56)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Boeser
Schmaltz
P1
42.5%
40.4%
P2
52.4%
46.8%
P3
34.5%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
44.6%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Brock Boeser |