Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Nelson 50.5% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 71.7%
Defensive zone
Raty 90.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 84.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Raty
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raty
Nelson
Last 6: Raty 5-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
50.6% (871)
+9.9%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
58.1% (160)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
44.0% (193)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Raty
Nelson
Home
61.4% (332)
52.3% (621)
Away
61.5% (260)
48.8% (603)
By Period
Raty
Nelson
P1
56.6%
48.3%
P2
67.4%
53.4%
P3
59.6%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
61.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Nelson
62.0%▲
54.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |