Brock Nelson vs Cedric Paquette
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Paquette on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Paquette 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 65.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 71.6%
Neutral zone
Paquette 57.3%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Nelson
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Nelson
Paquette
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
6
Nelson
Paquette
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
5
8
Nelson
Paquette
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
49.7% (2,579)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.8% (43)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
42.5% (426)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Home / Away
Nelson
Paquette
Home
50.0% (5,845)
50.2% (1,541)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
47.4% (1,507)
By Period
Nelson
Paquette
P1
48.7%
49.1%
P2
48.5%
49.9%
P3
47.7%
47.5%
OT
45.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |