Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Gauthier 45.5% (+14.6%)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Gauthier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
42.2% (45)
+9.1%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
20.0% (10)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Gauthier is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gauthier
Home
52.5% (590)
54.5% (22)
Away
51.7% (619)
26.5% (34)
By Period
Nelson
Gauthier
P1
50.5%
47.1%
P2
54.4%
26.3%
P3
51.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
37.5%