Brock Nelson vs Cutter Gauthier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Gauthier 47.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 69.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 76.9%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 51.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Nelson
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Gauthier
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
3
Nelson
Gauthier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Gauthier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
44.2% (156)
+3.7%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
49.4% (89)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
50.0% (4)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Gauthier is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gauthier
Home
50.0% (5,845)
53.3% (120)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
39.5% (129)
By Period
Nelson
Gauthier
P1
48.7%
44.1%
P2
48.5%
47.4%
P3
47.7%
46.6%
OT
45.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |