Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 48.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Grant 48.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Grant 64.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Nelson
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
49.1% (222)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
76.5% (17)
-23.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
45.3% (181)
-16.7%
On power play, Grant has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Nelson
Grant
Home
49.8% (458)
49.8% (223)
Away
49.0% (506)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Nelson
Grant
P1
50.1%
43.9%
P2
45.4%
49.7%
P3
52.7%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |