Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Brassard 50.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 69.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 65.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nelson
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Nelson
Brassard
Last 5: Nelson 5-0 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Brassard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
48.9% (1,114)
+0.7%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
57.8% (211)
-37.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.9% (21)
+10.0%
On power play, Brassard has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Nelson
Brassard
Home
52.9% (210)
50.9% (666)
Away
42.1% (178)
49.6% (680)
By Period
Nelson
Brassard
P1
43.9%
53.3%
P2
48.1%
47.5%
P3
53.1%
49.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |