Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Brassard 50.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Nelson
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nelson
Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
50.9% (287)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
53.8% (39)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (4)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Nelson
Brassard
Home
49.8% (458)
52.1% (211)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.6% (119)
By Period
Nelson
Brassard
P1
50.1%
47.3%
P2
45.4%
56.6%
P3
52.7%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |